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If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 million fatalities within 1 month?
99%
32 forecasters
-1
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will that cause more than 4 billion fatalities within 10 years?
60%
40 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
70%
13 forecasters
1 comment
1
Space Technology & Climate
Will the banana plague reach Latin America?
Resolved :
No
116 forecasters
15
4 comments
4
Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?
48%
102 forecasters
22
30 comments
30
Animal Welfare Series
11
2 comments
2
Animal Welfare Series
When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?
2032-12-10
32 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Animal Welfare Series
When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?
2032-02-13
21 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Animal Welfare Series
When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?
2030-03-18
31 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Animal Welfare Series
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