Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?
33%
178 forecasters
22
40 comments
40
Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
75%
187 forecasters
19
8 comments
8
Biosecurity Tournament
condition
HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?
30 forecasters
if yes
if no
More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?
16%
16%
More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?
50%
50%
7
1 comment
1