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Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?

191 forecasters

23

Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025?

8

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

115 forecasters

16

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

10

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?

4

By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

174 forecasters

18

Foresight 2020 Contest

What will be the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on December 31, 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?

118 forecasters

20

What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?

125 forecasters

12

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?

16

What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2023-02-14?

6

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round