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What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?
For-profit
80%
Government
10%
Non-profit
8%
3 others
17
7 comments
7
Situational Awareness
Will the listed AI companies/labs practice implementing emergency response plans before January 1st, 2025?
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
2%
Google DeepMind
1%
5
4 comments
4
AI Safety
Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models?
Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra
18%
Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus
18%
OpenAI / GPT-5
9%
19
31 comments
31
On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?
OpenAI
38.55%
Anthropic
31.77%
Google DeepMind
23.96%
3 others
9
9 comments
9
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Will the highest Elo LLM on Chatbot Arena be non-proprietary during 2024?
1%
8
9 comments
9
How many State of AI Report 2021 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2022 report?
Resolved :
3
5
20 comments
20
The Westinghouse Contingency
3
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
What will be the total venture capital funding (in USD) for Anthropic, Adept, Character, Inflection, Conjecture, Cohere, & Huggingface on June 30, 2023?
Resolved :
4.19B
9
22 comments
22
Business of AI
Will Anthropic launch a Large Language Model at the following levels of access before Sept 30, 2023?
Partially Open
Ambiguous
Public
Yes
7
20 comments
20
Business of AI
Will Claude outrank Bard worldwide on Google Trends as of April 4, 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
3
12 comments
12
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
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