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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 12, 2027
Waymo
Jan 29, 2027
Any Service
Nov 10, 2026
10
95 comments
95
condition
EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024?
11 forecasters
if yes
if no
Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)
71.6k
Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)
70.5k
2
2 comments
2
Conditional Cup
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?
3%
71 forecasters
16
22 comments
22
AGI Outcomes
When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?
2030-01-28
58 forecasters
12
11 comments
11
Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?
Resolved :
Yes
53 forecasters
11
13 comments
13
Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?
Resolved :
Yes
80 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?
Resolved :
No
122 forecasters
14
11 comments
11
Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?
Resolved :
No
127 forecasters
22
28 comments
28
In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
111 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
Foresight 2020 Contest
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
2073-10-09
52 forecasters
15
25 comments
25
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