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When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
2066-02-08
18
12 comments
12
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
60%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
17
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
8%
15
17 comments
17
AI Safety
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2309-10-25
23
68 comments
68
Will we find life on Mars by 2050?
11%
34
17 comments
17
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
34
67 comments
67
AI Demonstrations
When will the mammoth be revived?
2048-03-22
24
18 comments
18
Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?
28%
2
4 comments
4
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78%
11
25 comments
25
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
1%
4
25 comments
25
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