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If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

15

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

370 forecasters

42

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

241 forecasters

49

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae

Other 24 known HIVF

19

Biosecurity Tournament

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

429 forecasters

49

Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?

290 forecasters

34

AI Demonstrations

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

155 forecasters

17

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

112 forecasters

31

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?

3

Biosecurity Tournament