MetaculusM

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

210 comments210

Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?

18

Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?

3

Parasites in mosquitos to prevent viruses in mosquitos: deployed in 2017?

Resolved :Ambiguous

1

Pandemic Series (2018)

Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?

4

Will Germany win the FIFA World Cup?

3

When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?

104 forecasters

8

Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?

6

How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

2

Animal Welfare Series