Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
86%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?
1%
2
18 comments
18
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?
4%
6
2 comments
2
Superconductor Frontiers
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
67%
33
22 comments
22
Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?
13%
17
22 comments
22
AI Technical Benchmarks
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.83
2
3 comments
3
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78%
11
25 comments
25
When will global CO2 emissions peak?
2031-12-05
22
18 comments
18
Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
2%
15
37 comments
37
Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?
1%
2
9 comments
9
Superconductor Frontiers
Load more