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Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
31%
1305 forecasters
148
245 comments
245
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
22%
446 forecasters
58
67 comments
67
Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?
Resolved :
No
114 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
248 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarök Series
In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?
58.7%
110 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?
4.78k
34 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?
80%
46 forecasters
2
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023?
Resolved :
No
90 forecasters
3
14 comments
14
Nuclear Risk Tournament
How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?
10.9k
16 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
The Future of Human Spaceflight
10
no comments
0
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