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Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

182 forecasters

16

What will be the total number of successful orbital rocket launches in the following years?

5

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

6

When will >50% of users access Google over IPv6?

6

Will Apple adopt RCS technology for iPhones before 2026?

8

What will be the share of people using the internet in Africa in 2025?

4

Space Technology & Climate

by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?

132 forecasters

21

Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018?

108 forecasters

8

Will a "Deepfake" video about a national U.S. political candidate running for office in 2018 get 2M+ views?

6

When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?

Resolved :Apr 15, 2022

9