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Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?
15%
16
57 comments
57
AI Safety
Will Apple adopt RCS technology for iPhones before 2026?
99%
8
4 comments
4
Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?
10%
3
3 comments
3
Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?
13%
17
22 comments
22
AI Technical Benchmarks
When will >50% of users access Google over IPv6?
2025-01-19
6
12 comments
12
by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?
Resolved :
No
21
9 comments
9
Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
8
6 comments
6
Will a "Deepfake" video about a national U.S. political candidate running for office in 2018 get 2M+ views?
Resolved :
No
6
10 comments
10
When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?
Resolved :
Apr 15, 2022
9
9 comments
9
If Labour wins the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
4
1 comment
1
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