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What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?
0.169
28 forecasters
3
11 comments
11
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?
0.219
31 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation on a nation's capital by 2024, if an offensive nuclear detonation occurs anywhere by 2024?
Resolved :
Annulled
86 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Tournament
If these countries detonate a nuclear weapon by 2050, what proportion of those detonations will be countervalue?
Pakistan
0.329
China
0.125
India
0.0813
2 others
3
12 comments
12
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project