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Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
35%
622 forecasters
47
182 comments
182
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
1%
216 forecasters
20
123 comments
123
Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?
3%
50 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99%
89 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
2026-04-13
79 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
166 forecasters
9
23 comments
23
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
274 forecasters
36
44 comments
44
Verity
Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?
0.1%
175 forecasters
24
80 comments
80
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?
Resolved :
No
128 forecasters
31
32 comments
32
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