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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
240 forecasters
29
51 comments
51
When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?
2050-01-01
104 forecasters
8
44 comments
44
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
59 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.84
94 forecasters
22
43 comments
43
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
5%
32 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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