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Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?
2%
36 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
Future of AI
Most useful forecastint tools/data sources
26
33 comments
33
Metaculus Meta
Predict your true beliefs
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9 comments
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Metaculus Meta
How does the process at Metaculus compare to the Delphi method?
8 comments
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How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
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25 forecasters
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4 comments
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