Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?
1%
126 forecasters
14
40 comments
40
How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
17 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?
14.4
27 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?
Resolved :
No
42 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?
Resolved :
Yes
115 forecasters
6
54 comments
54
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
142 forecasters
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
What will the maximum z-score be for Denmark for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?
Resolved :
5.15
31 forecasters
5
6 comments
6
Will the Social Democrats hold a position in government after the next Danish general election?
Resolved :
Yes
32 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
When will China abolish physical, non-interest bearing cash?
2040-01-29
12 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Load More