Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?
2.31k
62 forecasters
16
16 comments
16
When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?
2512-02-16
116 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity
Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?
193
4 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?
2%
446 forecasters
53
69 comments
69
