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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?
Resolved :
No
93 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
59 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
74 forecasters
20
49 comments
49
When will any currency zone stop printing cash currency?
2034-06-30
24 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
How many countries will recognize Bitcoin as legal tender on 2030-01-01?
4.73
54 forecasters
6
12 comments
12
Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Haiti
No
El Salvador
No
Nicaragua
No
3 others
8
22 comments
22
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives
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