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Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

485 forecasters

59

102 comments102

Superconductor Frontiers

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024?

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

2

Conditional Cup

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

159 forecasters

16

Superconductor Frontiers

How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?

5

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Will transformer models be the state-of-the-art on most natural language processing benchmarks on January 1, 2027?

6

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?

9

Superconductor Frontiers

How much of major electronic design automation (EDA) companies' revenue will come from the Chinese market in the last quarter of 2025?

6

Chinese AI Chips

Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?

14

Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

7

Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018?

108 forecasters

8