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How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
99%
5
1%
3
No
4 others
5
32 comments
32
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
25%
1251 forecasters
174
88 comments
88
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?
60%
245 forecasters
23
38 comments
38
Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
20%
287 forecasters
27
72 comments
72
Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
26%
309 forecasters
34
71 comments
71
AI Demonstrations
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
1%
4236 forecasters
906
452 comments
452
Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?
7%
474 forecasters
47
51 comments
51
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
7%
131 forecasters
12
22 comments
22
When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?
2029-05-31
11 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
0.5%
248 forecasters
15
13 comments
13
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