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Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
1%
906
452 comments
452
How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
49%
3
49%
5
2%
4 others
4
24 comments
24
What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?
2025:
55.2
11
14 comments
14
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election?
Resolved :
Yes
28
62 comments
62
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?
90%
27
17 comments
17
AI Demonstrations
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
96%
32
16 comments
16
AI Demonstrations
What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?
2025:
12
9
14 comments
14
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
1%
8
11 comments
11
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
5%
12
22 comments
22
In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?
Not before 2027
48.53%
2026
24.05%
2025
22.15%
1 other
8
22 comments
22
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