Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How much new solar PV capacity will be installed globally in 2030?
1.18k
35 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
2023:
37.1B
152 forecasters
25
16 comments
16
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
75%
63 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
Space Technology & Climate
How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
Five
96.84%
Six
2.76%
Three or fewer
0.1%
3 others
5
11 comments
11
When will global CO2 emissions peak?
2031-10-07
65 forecasters
22
18 comments
18
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
27%
247 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025?
0.4%
104 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?
1.53k
16 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
67%
276 forecasters
33
22 comments
22
Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?
17%
429 forecasters
47
80 comments
80
Load More