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What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
60%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
17
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates?
0%
10
60 comments
60
Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?
35%
36
56 comments
56
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
3%
58
109 comments
109
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
4%
40
35 comments
35
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
2024:
20.1k
11
42 comments
42
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?
25%
24
27 comments
27
By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?
2%
39
108 comments
108
Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
95%
9
9 comments
9
Biosecurity Tournament
Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
76%
19
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
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