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What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?
Closed
89.8
32 forecasters
10
22 comments
22
What will be the vaccine effectiveness of 2 doses of Pfizer against hospitalization caused by Omicron according to the median of the first 3 published peer-reviewed studies?
Closed
74.5
26 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
What will be the vaccine effectiveness of 3 doses of Pfizer against hospitalization caused by Omicron according to the median of the first 3 published peer-reviewed studies?
Closed
88.4
38 forecasters
15
6 comments
6
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
2024
23.9k
2025
33.7k
2023
9.22k
1 other
12
45 comments
45
Mpox (Monkeypox)
What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?
2122
4.44M
2052
15.5M
2032
21.5M
2 others
5
5 comments
5
Forecasting Our World in Data
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
1.23
42 forecasters
9
51 comments
51
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?
30%
252 forecasters
37
57 comments
57
Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?
Resolved :
No
36%
46 forecasters
12
7 comments
7
By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?
Resolved :
Yes
75%
31 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?
Resolved :
No
32%
52 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
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