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Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
5%
57 forecasters
8
3 comments
3
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
353 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?
0.1%
627 forecasters
59
77 comments
77
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
0.1%
308 forecasters
21
18 comments
18
Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?
9%
146 forecasters
32
24 comments
24
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
15%
373 forecasters
43
74 comments
74
Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
75%
187 forecasters
19
8 comments
8
Biosecurity Tournament
Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
59%
114 forecasters
16
9 comments
9
Biosecurity Tournament
Will the Council of the European Union adopt the proposed expansion to climate-focused export credits before 2025?
51%
21 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
96%
78 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
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