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How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
50%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
50%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
30%
2 others
20
19 comments
19
Future of AI
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1.4%
1237 forecasters
72
331 comments
331
A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?
Resolved :
No
136 forecasters
10
7 comments
7
When will the mammoth be revived?
2049-12-31
61 forecasters
24
18 comments
18
Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
3%
92 forecasters
16
23 comments
23
Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?
20%
42 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
