Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?
2025-12-23
55 forecasters
5
22 comments
22
Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?
2024
20%
2025
12%
2023
12%
36
237 comments
237
What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates?
December 31, 2024:
4.56
33 forecasters
5
18 comments
18
Economic Indicators
Will the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?
1.2%
52 forecasters
7
8 comments
8
Will the United States return to the gold standard before 2050?
0.7%
70 forecasters
1
27 comments
27
Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?
Resolved :
Yes
87 forecasters
14
7 comments
7
Will President Trump fire (or request and accept the resignation of) Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve?
Resolved :
No
71 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds target rate or lower bound to 0% or lower before January 1 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
70 forecasters
7
32 comments
32
How many initial jobless claims will be filed on average in September 2020?
Resolved :
867k
31 forecasters
2
23 comments
23
What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in October?
Resolved :
783k
38 forecasters
10 comments
10
Load More