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Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?
29%
25 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?
Resolved :
No
175 forecasters
18
58 comments
58
Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
49 forecasters
14
24 comments
24
Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
438 forecasters
33
65 comments
65
Ukraine Conflict
Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022?
Resolved :
No
35 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Verity
Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023?
Resolved :
No
91 forecasters
8
53 comments
53
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024?
Resolved :
No
183 forecasters
26
32 comments
32
Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
44 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
condition
Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
13 forecasters
if yes
if no
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
7%
7%
Resolved :
No
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
62%
62%
Resolved :
Annulled
4
1 comment
1
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
304 forecasters
13
46 comments
46
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