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Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?

5

Regulation of AI

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2018?

141 forecasters

11

AI Technical Benchmarks

What will be the lowest tabulated cost of a teraflop of computing speed in 2018?

Resolved :Ambiguous

5

When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?

15

What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?

5

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2019?

9

What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?

124 forecasters

41

What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?

4

Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?

5

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2020?

7

AI Technical Benchmarks