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Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?
95%
5
7 comments
7
Regulation of AI
Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
11
13 comments
13
AI Technical Benchmarks
What will be the lowest tabulated cost of a teraflop of computing speed in 2018?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
5
22 comments
22
When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?
2029-05-17
15
18 comments
18
What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?
244
5
4 comments
4
Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2019?
Resolved :
No
9
41 comments
41
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.6e17
41
43 comments
43
What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?
Resolved :
38
4
2 comments
2
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47%
5
no comments
0
Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2020?
Resolved :
No
7
15 comments
15
AI Technical Benchmarks
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