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When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
2066-02-08
18
12 comments
12
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2309-10-25
23
68 comments
68
Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?
40%
3
8 comments
8
When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
2050-10-21
14
25 comments
25
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
34
67 comments
67
AI Demonstrations
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78%
11
25 comments
25
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?
0%
9
45 comments
45
Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?
1%
4
25 comments
25
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?
Resolved :
No
35
10 comments
10
By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?
Resolved :
No
19
15 comments
15
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