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Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
30%
8
26 comments
26
Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?
Resolved :
No
7
3 comments
3
Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?
Resolved :
No
14
12 comments
12
A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious
Resolved :
No
5
12 comments
12
AI ambiguity Series
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?
Resolved :
No
3
2 comments
2
Pandemic Series (2018)
A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?
Resolved :
No
5
2 comments
2
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2021-06-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?
Resolved :
84.3
5
1 comment
1
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?
Resolved :
No
11
20 comments
20
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?
Resolved :
84.4
2
1 comment
1
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
17
19 comments
19
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