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Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?

129 forecasters

39

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

14

How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?

Resolved :Ambiguous

17

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

Resolved :33.9M

11

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

10

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

17

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

15

How many charities will Charity Entrepreneurship help launch in 2021?

Resolved :Ambiguous

4

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

8

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?

4

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series