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Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
4%
280 forecasters
26
80 comments
80
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?
0.1%
110 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
1%
207 forecasters
13
26 comments
26
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
286 forecasters
31
155 comments
155
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
Resolved :
No
232 forecasters
12
19 comments
19
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?
Resolved :
No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?
66%
66%
Resolved :
Annulled
1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?
3%
3%
2
2 comments
2
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?
Resolved :
No
82 forecasters
8
2 comments
2
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?
Resolved :
No
129 forecasters
10
33 comments
33
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?
Resolved :
No
140 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
15%
15%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
13
3 comments
3
Conditional Cup
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
48 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
50%
50%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
21%
21%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
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