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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
93.42%
More than 100
6.28%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
90 comments
90
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
7%
13
63 comments
63
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025:
1%
71
339 comments
339
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34%
104
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
4%
4%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
[Short Fuse] During the 7 days starting August 7th 2019, will the Google search volume for "Hong Kong protest" spike to at least 25% of its all time peak?
Resolved :
Yes
4
14 comments
14
Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in August 2019?
Resolved :
No
19
65 comments
65
When will the median Hongkonger be merely "quite disatisfied" with the present political condition in Hong Kong, according to HKPORI?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
8
21 comments
21
Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in September 2019?
Resolved :
No
15
19 comments
19
If the Chinese police or military intervenes in Hong Kong in September 2019, how many G20 countries will impose economic sanctions on China within a month?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
8
10 comments
10
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