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Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

581 forecasters

58

109 comments109

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

199 forecasters

16

How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on February 3rd?

Resolved :17.5k

9

How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on February the 17th?

Resolved :71.8k

14

Will another location overtake Hubei as the location of the largest COVID-19 outbreak before 2021?

147 forecasters

27

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on March 2nd, 2020?

Resolved :89.2k

14

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Will it turn out that Covid-19 originated inside a research lab in Hubei?

Resolved :Ambiguous

881 forecasters

137

370 comments370

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

Resolved :35.2k

5

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?

Resolved :2.42k

11

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO European region by March 27?

12

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament