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Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
14%
25
79 comments
79
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
19 comments
19
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes
if no
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
50%
50%
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
45%
45%
8
2 comments
2
2024 Electoral Consequences
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
3%
14
25 comments
25
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
2%
13
26 comments
26
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?
1%
6
6 comments
6
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
55%
63
153 comments
153
Verity
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
56%
4
9 comments
9
Verity
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
60%
6
21 comments
21
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