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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
9
22 comments
22
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?
85%
5
3 comments
3
When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?
2093-06-10
9
15 comments
15
What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
Resolved :
11
3
8 comments
8
An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?
16
4 comments
4
How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?
12.2
4
3 comments
3
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