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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
25%
Israel
20%
Pakistan
10%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
86%
Israel
13.1%
Hamas
0.6%
3 others
25
75 comments
75
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
96%
774 forecasters
31
46 comments
46
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
20%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
50%
China
33%
United Arab Emirates
10%
6 others
16
42 comments
42
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
4%
280 forecasters
26
80 comments
80
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?
86%
156 forecasters
16
31 comments
31
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
1%
207 forecasters
19
38 comments
38
Israel-Gaza Conflict
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