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Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
70%
Israel
30%
Hamas
3%
3 others
22
65 comments
65
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
14%
25
77 comments
77
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
96%
30
46 comments
46
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
17 comments
17
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
30%
Israel
25%
Pakistan
16%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61%
10
31%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
20%
58
67 comments
67
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?
1%
2
18 comments
18
Israel-Gaza Conflict
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