Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
61 comments
61
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
0.1%
308 forecasters
21
18 comments
18
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
8%
106 forecasters
7
10 comments
10
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
1%
928 forecasters
96
67 comments
67
Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?
2.7%
215 forecasters
25
13 comments
13
Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?
Resolved :
No
109 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Will Germany win the FIFA World Cup?
Resolved :
No
70 forecasters
3
14 comments
14
How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Resolved :
227
41 forecasters
3
18 comments
18
[Short Fuse] Will no Prime Minister of Italy be named in August 2019?
Resolved :
No
37 forecasters
8
21 comments
21
How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
17 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
Load More