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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?
2%
262 forecasters
36
54 comments
54
Verity
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
0.1%
308 forecasters
21
18 comments
18
Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
730 forecasters
30
31 comments
31
Ukraine Conflict
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
18 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
9%
106 forecasters
7
10 comments
10
What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022?
Resolved :
20.8
15 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?
Poland
Ambiguous
Latvia
Ambiguous
Lithuania
Ambiguous
9 others
9
40 comments
40
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest?
Switzerland
Yes
Croatia
No
Other
No
5 others
7
52 comments
52
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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