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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
353 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025?
9%
23 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?
Resolved :
No
52 forecasters
5
14 comments
14
Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?
85%
57 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal Archives
How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?
12.2
13 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
Libya
Feb 6, 2029
Syria
Jan 17, 2029
Myanmar
Jan 12, 2029
3 others
7
10 comments
10
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
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