Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
0.1%
308 forecasters
21
18 comments
18
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
15%
373 forecasters
43
74 comments
74
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?
Resolved :
No
45 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
Animal Welfare Series
Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?
2%
262 forecasters
36
54 comments
54
Verity
Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
730 forecasters
30
31 comments
31
Ukraine Conflict
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
18 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?
11.7
48 forecasters
5
13 comments
13
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
9%
106 forecasters
7
10 comments
10
Load More