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Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025?

140 forecasters

6

Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election?

22

138 comments138

Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election?

K. Starmer (Labour)

W. Streeting (Labour)

A. Burham (Labour)

8

What will inflation in the UK be, given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

4

What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

5

What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?

4

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

2

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

10

When will Liz Truss no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Resolved :Oct 25, 2022

130 forecasters

14

How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

2