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Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?
Resolved :
No
177 forecasters
48
10 comments
10
When will the Loebner Prize award a silver medal for an AI that passes the Turing test?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
5 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?
2028-12-04
172 forecasters
43
70 comments
70
AGI Outcomes