Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
36%
356 forecasters
55
18 comments
18
Ragnarรถk Series
Does P = NP?
4.9%
273 forecasters
38
21 comments
21
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100?
92%
64 forecasters
12
7 comments
7
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
2051-04-24
62 forecasters
22
21 comments
21
Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?
Resolved :
No
78 forecasters
16
10 comments
10
Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?
Resolved :
No
87 forecasters
22
9 comments
9
Will this question resolve in the negative?
Resolved :
Yes
33 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?
Resolved :
No
62 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
When will the halting problem for the Collatz Program be resolved?
2080-05-22
48 forecasters
13
8 comments
8
When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?
2045-07-03
27 forecasters
4
no comments
0
Load More