MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

776 forecasters

72

348 comments348

The Taiwan Tinderbox

For how many countries will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice by May 15, due to the novel coronavirus?

Resolved :Above upper bound

7

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

14

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

18

China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

1

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary

Yes, non-adversary owner

8

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

8