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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
93.42%
More than 100
6.28%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
90 comments
90
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
8%
13
62 comments
62
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
51%
32
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?
2031-02-06
5
12 comments
12
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
60%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
17
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
8%
15
17 comments
17
AI Safety
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
52%
20
14 comments
14
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2309-10-25
23
68 comments
68
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?
334
6
44 comments
44
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
2024:
20.1k
11
42 comments
42
Mpox (Monkeypox)
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