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What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
End of 2024:
3.5k
42 forecasters
6
22 comments
22
On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?
OpenAI
46.28%
Anthropic
29.45%
Google DeepMind
19.56%
3 others
9
12 comments
12
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
condition
US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access?
14 forecasters
if yes
if no
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.43k
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.47k
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?
2031-01-01
12 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
condition
3 AI labs constrain capabilities before 2026?
12 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date of Artificial General Intelligence
2030-03-07
Date of Artificial General Intelligence
2030-03-11
7
no comments
0
Will the highest Elo LLM on Chatbot Arena be non-proprietary during 2024?
0.1%
39 forecasters
8
9 comments
9
Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?
68%
62 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
AI Safety
Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
13
2 comments
2
Business of AI
Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?
Resolved :
No
68 forecasters
10
3 comments
3
Business of AI
What will Meta’s yearly spending on Reality Labs be?
2025:
13.8B
11 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
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