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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
20%
58
67 comments
67
Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?
1%
2
18 comments
18
Israel-Gaza Conflict
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L5
Apr 4, 2030
L4
Oct 20, 2020
L3
Apr 15, 2021
9
121 comments
121
Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?
30%
9
15 comments
15
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?
Resolved :
No
15
12 comments
12
Will the AI's major professional society take a position on "killer robots"?
Resolved :
No
5
3 comments
3
Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?
Resolved :
No
9
6 comments
6
Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?
Resolved :
No
5
4 comments
4
Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?
Resolved :
No
12
1 comment
1
Pandemic Series (2018)
Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
25
26 comments
26
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