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Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

429 forecasters

49

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

112 forecasters

31

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

9

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

171 forecasters

24

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

9

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

16

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

17

Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?

4

Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?

10

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

8

AI Progress Essay Contest