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Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
86%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%
62 forecasters
13
20 comments
20
condition
NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?
32 forecasters
if yes
if no
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
25%
25%
Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
3%
3%
3
3 comments
3
Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
No
544 forecasters
22
41 comments
41
Ukraine Conflict
Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?
Resolved :
Yes
717 forecasters
29
106 comments
106
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?
Resolved :
No
589 forecasters
23
59 comments
59
Ukraine Conflict
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
18 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
198 forecasters
4
12 comments
12
Ukraine Conflict
How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
295 forecasters
16
36 comments
36
Ukraine Conflict
Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?
20%
75 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
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