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Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?
1.5%
53 forecasters
12
14 comments
14
Short Fuse: Will more than 1000 protesters be arrested in Moscow on the 3rd of August 2019?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
55 forecasters
9
32 comments
32
Will an individual city be hit by 3 or more offensive nuclear detonations by 2024, if there's any detonation on or over a city by 2024?
Resolved :
Annulled
95 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Nuclear Risk Tournament
War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict
16
6 comments
6
Metaculus Journal Archives
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting
21
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
219 forecasters
7
56 comments
56
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
condition
Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
if yes
if no
Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024
33%
33%
Resolved :
Annulled
Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024
8%
8%
Resolved :
No
4
no comments
0
Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June?
Resolved :
Yes
153 forecasters
16
28 comments
28
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?
Resolved :
No
47 forecasters
6
34 comments
34
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will Yulia Navalnaya ever become president or prime minister of Russia?
1%
46 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
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