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Will Donald Trump resign from the office of U.S. president before the end of his first term?
Resolved :
No
81 forecasters
11
7 comments
7
Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?
Resolved :
No
44 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?
Resolved :
No
97 forecasters
9
27 comments
27
Verity
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
168 forecasters
18
79 comments
79
[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?
Kevin McCarthy (R)
Yes
Andy Biggs (R)
No
Patrick McHenry (R)
No
10 others
18
75 comments
75
Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?
Resolved :
No
70 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?
Mike Johnson (R)
Yes
Kevin Hern (R)
Annulled
Elise Stefanik (R)
No
18 others
15
122 comments
122
condition
Next US Speaker of the House? (Steve Scalise (R))
Resolved :
No
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Government Shutdown Before 2024?
43%
43%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Government Shutdown Before 2024?
65%
65%
Resolved :
No
1
1 comment
1
Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?
2035
4%
2030
2%
3
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox